Analyzing Putin’s military aggression

By Dr. Kwame Nantambu
September 03, 2022

Dr. Kwame NantambuIn 2008, President Vladimirr Putin of Russia invaded Georgia. In 2014, he repeated military history by invading Crimea. Hence, it need occasion no great surprise that on 24 February 2022, the Russian President Putin repeated military history one more time by his unprovoked, illegal invasion of Ukraine. President Vladimir Putin has consistantly argued that it was “an act of self-defense” and “a special military operation” aimed at the “demilitarization ” and “denazification” of Ukraine.

The inherent, salient geo-political stark reality is that when Russian President Vladimir Putin militarily invaded Ukraine, he broke/violated international sovereign independent nation-state law. Indeed, these three above-mentioned foreign military aggressions should suggest that Russian President Putin has surmised that he can act and pursue military policies with a modicum of geo-political, legal invincibility. Furthermore, he clearly understands that international legal power and control lie in “the right to veto” clause ratified and enshrined in the United Nations Charter. They DO NOT lie in the imposition of sanctions.

The salient fact of the matter is that Vladimir Putin’s geo-political master-plan is to restore modern-day Russia to the powerful global hey days of the then superpower Soviet Union “by any means necessary.”

Vladimir Putin is totally convinced that he cannot be stopped. And with the present ratified and signed structure of the 26 June 1945 United Nations Charter, he might just be right.

In other words, the imposition of severe, draconian economic sanctions on Russia by European countries only deal with the effect of Russia’s military invasion of Ukraine. They DO NOT deal with the cause of that invasion.

Put another way, history suggests that the Russian invasion of Ukraine is a colossal tragedy while the imposition of sanctions on Russia is the undisputed farce—plain and simple.

And this overt farce goes back to 1945 to the extent that “the right of the veto which is in the Charter of the United Nations can only be brought into question if two-thirds of the General Assembly (193 members)agree to that end and the (Security) Council’s five permanent members unanimously renounced that privilege.” That’s the inherent/endemic problem.

It must be noted here that the countries who are now in 2022 imposing economic sanctions on Russia are the very same countries who in 1945 inserted and agreed to the word ” unanimously.” This word has now come back to bite these countries viciously.

Ipso facto, the imposition of economic sanctions is not the problem, rather the solution clearly lies in restructuring and eliminating the key word “unanimously” in the Charter of the United Nations and replacing it with the word majority.

At this juncture, the crucial questions that must be asked are: will there ever be a two-thirds vote in the General Assembly to effectuate such a veto structural change in the Security Council?. The answer is NO. Another crucial question is: will the five permanent members of the Security Council renounce that privilege?. The answer is NO

The salient geopolitical stark reality is that Russian troops have bombed apartment buildings, government offices, an opera house, a concert hall, art school, a maternity hospital, a drama theater, plus a public train station on independence day 24 August 2022 that resulted in the death of 15 human beings and the wounding of 50 more. In addition, the United Nations has estimated that more than 9,000 Ukrainian soldiers and 5, 587 civilians have been killed plus 7, 890 wounded as of August 2022.

The above-mentioned information strongly suggests that the imposition of economic sanctions will not stop Vladimir Putin ‘s “war crimes” translated into “crimes against humanity”; on the contrary, only the lethal, potent imposition of international law via the United Nations Security Council will, period and full stop.

In the final analysis, Russian President Vladimir Putin is now totally convinced that he can act militarily with international legal impunity simply because the Charter of the United Nations has got his back. Economic sanctions will just roll off his country duck’s back. They are immaterial, irrelevant and non-sequential in addition to being totally ineffective.

The bottom line is that President Vladimir Putin has everything to gain in terms of autocracy while the European countries have everything to lose but their democracy.

President Putin is NOT going to end his military invasion of Ukraine and beyond until and when he is ordered to do so by the United Nations Security Council —an order he cannot veto.

Truth Be Told: Only a radical, structural change in the international geo-political world order will and can stop Russian President Vladimir Putin dead in his external military aggressive tracks.

“And that’s the way it is.”

—Author Dr Kwame Nantambu is Professor Emeritus, Kent State University.

5 thoughts on “Analyzing Putin’s military aggression”

  1. It seems that this Post have been paid for, by you know whom. We comprehend your western thought, but the World that we live in presently, continue to be dominated through propaganda. Those who have been following post Soviet Union breakup are not on the same street where you presently reside. Ukraine is totally wrong on this one. We must also asked the question, Why the TRUE world is supporting Russia? as the conquest continues to unravel TRUTH will be revealed. Looks like you love the World Order as is KWAME.

    1. The lone voice of the Russian Politburo in Trinidad speaks.
      What a forceful defense of the Old Guard of the Neo-Bolshevik Party. The new world order evolves.
      Long live the Stalinists and Putinists, Comrades.

    1. Whose army is on the run in the Kharkiv region? Which army has just taken the towns of Izyum and Kupiansk? Why was the Donbas taken by Ukraine on Saturday with the Russian army turning tail and running without their equipment? Now we know that a Ukrainian army counterattack in Kherson is imminent.
      Lets hear some more Russian propaganda about that from their Trini loyalists.

  2. Operation Z – a new interview with former Swiss Intelligence officer Jacques Baud

    By Vanessa Beeley
    September 06, 2022

    We are pleased to bring you this fresh interview with Jacques Baud, in which we cover what is now happening in the geopolitical struggle that is the Ukraine-Russia war. As always, Mr. Baud brings deep insight and clear analysis to the conversation – The Postil

    The Postil (TP): You have just published your latest book on the war in Ukraine—Operation Z, published by Max Milo. Please tell us a little about it—what led you to write this book and what do you wish to convey to readers?

    Jacques Baud (JB): The aim of this book is to show how the misinformation propagated by our media has contributed to push Ukraine in the wrong direction. I wrote it under the motto “from the way we understand crises derives the way we solve them.”

    By hiding many aspects of this conflict, the Western media has presented us with a caricatural and artificial image of the situation, which has resulted in the polarization of minds. This has led to a widespread mindset that makes any attempt to negotiate virtually impossible.

    The one-sided and biased representation provided by mainstream media is not intended to help us solve the problem, but to promote hatred of Russia. Thus, the exclusion of disabled athletes, cats, even Russian trees from competitions, the dismissal of conductors, the de-platforming of Russian artists, such as Dostoyevsky, or even the renaming of paintings aims at excluding the Russian population from society! In France, bank accounts of individuals with Russian-sounding names were even blocked. Social networks Facebook and Twitter have systematically blocked the disclosure of Ukrainian crimes under the pretext of “hate speech” but allow the call for violence against Russians.

    None of these actions had any effect on the conflict, except to stimulate hatred and violence against the Russians in our countries. This manipulation is so bad that we would rather see Ukrainians die than to seek a diplomatic solution. As Republican Senator Lindsey Graham recently said, it is a matter of letting the Ukrainians fight to the last man.
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