Hurricane Ivan Intermediate Advisory
National Hurricane Center Miami Fl
8 PM AST TUE SEP 07 2004
Ivan regains extremely dangerous category four intensity... Continues to move rapidly Westward across the Southeastern Caribbean...
AT 8 PM AST....0000Z...The government of Venezuela has issued a hurricane watch and a tropical storm warning for the entire northern coast of Venezuela.
A hurricane warning remains in effect for St. Vincent...The Grenadines...And Grenada and its dependencies.
A hurricane watch and a tropical storm warning remain in effect for the Dutch Netherland Antilles of Aruba...Bonaire...And Curacao...As well as for the Guajira Peninsula of Columbia. A hurricane warning may be required later tonight for Aruba...Bonaire...And Curacao.
At 645 pm ast...2245z...The government of Martinique has discontinued all warnings for Martinique. A tropical storm warning remains in effect for St. Lucia...Trinidad and Tobago.
Interests elsewhere in the lesser antilles and the eastern and central Caribbean Sea should closely monitor the progress of Ivan.
At 8 pm ast...0000z...The eye of hurricane Ivan was located near latitude 12.0 north...Longitude 62.6 west or about 65miles...105km... West of Grenada. This is also about 385 miles...620 km...East of Bonaire.
Ivan is moving toward the west near 18 mph ...30 km/hr...And this motion is expected to continue during the next 24 hours.
Reports from an air force reserve hurricane hunter aircraft indicate that Ivan is now an extremely dangerous category four hurricane on the saffir/simpson hurricane scale with maximum sustained winds near 135 mph...215 km/hr...With higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles...110 km...From the center...And tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 160 miles...260 km. Grenada reported wind gusts to 116 mph...187km/hr when the eye passed by a few hours ago.
The minimum central pressure recently reported by a reconnaissance plane was 950 mb...28.05 inches.
Storm surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...Along with large and dangerous battering waves...Can be expected near and to the right of where the center passes through the windward islands.
Rainfall amounts of 5 to 7 inches...Possibly causing flash floods and mud slides...Can be expected as Ivan passes through the Windward Islands.
Repeating the 8 pm ast position...12.0 n... 62.6 w. Movement toward...West near 18 mph. Maximum sustained winds...135 mph. Minimum central pressure... 950 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at 11 pm ast.
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