Hurricane Ivan Advisory
National Hurricane Center Miami Fl
5 PM AST TUE SEP 07 2004

Eye of dangerous hurricane Ivan just moved over Grenada...Heading for the Eastern Caribbean sea...

A hurricane warning remains in effect for St. Vincent...The Grenadines...and Grenada and its dependencies.

At 5 pm ast...2100z...The hurricane warning for Tobago has been downgraded to a tropical storm warning.

A tropical storm warning is in effect for Barbados...Martinique...and St. Lucia...Trinidad and Tobago.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE Government of the Netherlands Antilles has issued a tropical storm warning and hurricane watch for Bonaire...Curacao And Aruba.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z..The Government of Colombia has issued a hurricane watch for the Guajira Peninsula.

Interests elsewhere in the Lesser Antilles and the Eastern Caribbean sea should closely monitor the progress of Ivan.

At 5 pm ast...2100z...The eye of hurricane ivan was located near latitude 12.0 north...Longitude 62.0 west or about 20 miles...35km... West-southwest of Grenada.

Ivan is moving toward the west near 18 mph ...30 km/hr...And this motion is expected to continue during the next 24 hours.

Ivan is a dangerous category three hurricane on the saffir/simpson hurricane scale with maximum sustained winds near 120mph...195km/hr... With higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles...110 km...From the center...And tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 160 miles...260 km. Grenada reported wind gusts to 93 mph...150km/hr when the eye was approaching about one hour ago.

Minimum central pressure reported by a reconnaissance plane was 956 mb...28.23 inches.

Storm surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...Along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be expected near and to the right of where the center passes through the Windward Islands.

Rainfall amounts of 5 to 7 inches...Possibly causing flash floods
and mud slides...Can be expected as ivan passes through the Windward Islands.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...12.0 N... 62.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 956 MB.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at 8 pm ast followed by the next complete advisory at 11 pm ast.