Hurricane Ivan Intermediate Advisory
National Hurricane Center Miami Fl

...Dangerous Hurricane Ivan...with 120 mph winds...moving through the Windward Islands...

A hurricane warning remains in effect for...Tobago...St.Vincent...The Grenadines...And Grenada and its dependencies. preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

AT 2 PM AST...1800Z...The hurricane warning for Trinidad has been downgraded to a tropical storm warning.

A tropical storm warning is now in effect for Barbados...Martinique...And st. Lucia and trinidad.

A hurricane watch is in effect for Bonaire...Curacao And Aruba.

Interests in the central and western Caribbean Sea should closely
monitor the progress of Ivan.

AT 2 PM AST...1800Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.2 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES...55KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GRENADA IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.

Ivan is moving toward the west near 18 mph...30 km/hr. On this the eye of Ivan will pass near or over Grenada shortly and then will move over the Eastern Caribbean Sea.

Ivan is a dangerous category three hurricane on the saffir/simpson hurricane scale. Data from a noaa p3 reconnaissance plane indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 120 mph...195 km/hr...With higher gusts...In a very small area near the eye. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles...110 km...From the center...And tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 160 miles...260 km. Barbados has been reporting hurricane force wind gusts for several hour and just measured a gust to 81 mph...130 km/hr. Ham radio reports indicate roofs being blown off by winds on Tobago...St.Vincent...And Grenada...as well as some structural damage in Barbados.

Minimum central pressure recently reported by a noaa reconnaissance plane was 957 mb...28.23 inches.

Storm surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...Along with large and dangerous battering waves...Can be expected near and to the right of where the center passes through the Windward Islands.

Rainfall amounts of 5 to 7 inches...Possibly causing flash floods and mud slides...Can be expected as Ivan passes through the Windward Islands.

Repeating the 2 pm ast position...11.9 n... 61.2 w. Movement toward...West near 18 mph. Maximum sustained winds...120 mph. Minimum central pressure...957 mb.