Tropical Storm Jeanne Advisory
National Hurricane Center Miami Fl
5 PM AST WED SEP 15 2004

...Jeanne moving west-northwestward across Puerto Rico...New hurricane watch issued...

A hurricane warning remains in effect for Puerto Rico...And along the eastern coast of the Dominican republic from Cabrera southward to Isla Saona.

A tropical storm warning and a hurricane watch remain in effect along the northern coast of the Dominican Republic west of Cabrera to Puerto Plata...And along the southern coast of the Dominican Republic from Isla Saona westward to Santo Domingo. A tropical storm warning and a hurricane watch also remain in effect for the British Virgin Islands.

At 5 pm AST...2100z...The government of the Bahamas has issued a hurricane watch for the southeastern Bahamas...Including the Acklins...Crooked island...The Inaguas...Mayaguana...And the ragged islands...As well as for the Turks and Caicos Islands.

At 5 pm AST...2100z...The government of Antigua has discontinued all warnings for St. Kitts and Nevis.

At 5 pm AST...2100z...The hurricane warning for the u. S. Virgin islands is downgraded to a tropical storm warning.

Interests elsewhere in the Bahamas should monitor the progress of Jeanne.

At 5 pm AST...2100z...The center of tropical storm Jeanne was located near latitude 18.4 north...Longitude 66.5 west or over Puerto Rico about 25 miles... 40 km...West of San Juan.

Jeanne is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph...15 km/hr...And this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. The forecast motion should bring the center off the northwestern coast of Puerto Rico tonight...And near the northern coast of the Dominican republic on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph...110 km/hr...With higher gusts. Some strengthening is possible once the center of Jeanne reaches the Atlantic...And it could become a hurricane later tonight or Thursday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles...110 km from the center. San Juan recently reported a wind gust of 71 mph...114 km/hr.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb...29.26 inches.

Storm surge flooding of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels...Along with large and dangerous battering waves...Can be expected near and to the right of where the center makes landfall.

Rainfall accumulations of 8 to 12 inches...With isolated higher amounts...Can be expected near the path of Jeanne. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Portions of Puerto Rico have reported 7 inches of rain so far in association with Jeanne.

Isolated tornadoes are possible over Puerto Rico and the virgin islands today.

Repeating the 5 pm AST position...18.4 n... 66.5 w. Movement toward...West-northwest near 9 mph. Maximum sustained winds... 70 mph. Minimum central pressure... 991 mb.

For storm information specific to your area...Please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at 8 pm AST followed by the next complete advisory at 11 pm AST.